核验提示 / Audit notice — 8 September 2026：下列为保留的历史记录，统计核验尚未完成；2/5 不应作为已审计命中率。详情见文末结算补记。These historical figures are retained for accountability; 2/5 is not an audited accuracy claim. See the settlement note below.
MATCHIQ Prediction Tracker
Every MATCHIQ prediction stays on record — correct or incorrect.
每一项 MATCHIQ 预测都会永久保留，无论正确或错误。
2026/27 Season Overview｜赛季总览
Man City 2–1 Bournemouth and Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool: both exact scores missed; one of two outcome directions correct. The early-season readiness signal remained visible, but score precision did not.
Tracked Matches｜比赛记录
手机可在表格内左右滑动，查看全部列。 / Swipe the table to see all columns.
| Date | Match | Prediction | Actual | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | Arsenal vs Man City | 1–1 | 3–0 | HIT | MISS |
| 22 Aug | Hull City vs Man United | 0–1 | 2–0 | MISS | MISS |
| 22 Aug | Brentford vs Tottenham | 1–2 | 3–0 | MISS | MISS |
| 23 Aug | Man City vs Bournemouth | 1–1 | 2–1 | MISS | MISS |
| 23 Aug | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 1–1 | 2–2 | HIT | MISS |
Tracking Methodology｜追踪规则
- Predictions are recorded before kick-off.｜所有预测必须在开赛前记录。
- Incorrect predictions are never deleted.｜错误预测不会被删除。
- Outcome, exact score, first scorer and winning method are tracked separately.｜赛果、比分、首球及取胜方式分别计算。
- Metrics only count matches where that category was explicitly predicted.｜只有明确作出该项预测的场次才进入分母。
- Official competition, club and top-tier reporting are used for final results.｜赛果以官方及一级可靠来源为准。
Arsenal official report · Hull–Man United Reality Check · Brentford–Tottenham Reality Check · Man City official report · Newcastle–Liverpool report
Last updated｜最后更新：24 August 2026
Know What’s Real. Know What Changed.
结算核验补记 / Settlement audit note — 8 September 2026
历史数据，核验未完成 / Historical figures; audit incomplete. 上方5场记录及2/5、0/5、0/3等统计按原样保留，不能视为已完成原始预测审计的命中率。The five rows and displayed aggregates are retained as historical records, not as audited accuracy claims.
16 Aug Arsenal–Man City：The FA 官方赛报 / official report确认赛果为3–0。MATCHIQ 17 Aug 赛后复盘 / retrospective回述预测为1–1、Arsenal 点球获胜，但赛后回述不能代替带时间戳的赛前锁定记录。The retrospective describes a 1–1 prediction and an Arsenal shootout win; it does not itself establish a pre-match lock.
为什么1–1对3–0仍显示HIT？ 现有复盘将“最终夺冠球队”与“90分钟胜平负”混在了 Outcome 标签下。原始结算规则尚未找到，因此保留历史HIT标记，并将其审计状态列为 STILL_OPEN。不能事后选取更有利的规则重算2/5。
Why does 1–1 versus 3–0 show HIT? The retrospective uses the eventual trophy winner under an Outcome label that can also mean the 90-minute result. Without the original resolution rule, the historical HIT remains on record with audit status STILL_OPEN. The 2/5 aggregate must not be recalculated using a favourable rule chosen after the event.
分别结算 / Separate fields: 90分钟胜平负（含补时）/ regulation-time W–D–L; 准确比分 / exact score; 最终晋级或夺冠球队 / eventual advancing team or trophy winner; 取胜方式 / winning method; 首球球员 / first scorer. 比赛机制与时间判断也须分别复盘。每项必须回到赛前锁定的定义，缺失则保持未决。Mechanism and timing also require separate review; a missing locked definition leaves that field open.
Reality Delta：独立赛果来源已补充；原始预测锁定与 Outcome 定义仍缺失。结果核实不等于预测命中已核实。
Next Check：找回开赛前的原文链接、时间戳、Primary Call 和规则版本，再追加逐项结算与统计更正；不删除本历史记录。Locate the pre-kick-off source, timestamp, Primary Call and rule version, then append a field-by-field settlement and any aggregate correction.